Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Stilon Gorzów: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Panatoni Arena, Goczałkowice-Zdrój
The Footlab model makes Goczałkowice Zdrój the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Stilon Gorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Stilon Gorzów?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Goczałkowice Zdrój (1,737) and Stilon Gorzów (1,724).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Goczałkowice Zdrój have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Stilon Gorzów have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rakow II(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Goczałkowice Zdrój win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Stilon Gorzów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2025 | Stilon Gorzów 0-1 Goczałkowice Zdrój | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Goczałkowice Zdrój 0-0 Stilon Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Goczałkowice Zdrój 1-2 Stilon Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Stilon Gorzów 1-1 Goczałkowice Zdrój | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Stilon Gorzów 1-0 Goczałkowice Zdrój | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Goczałkowice Zdrój 2-2 Stilon Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Stilon Gorzów vs Goczałkowice Zdrój on Jun 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Goczałkowice Zdrój score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stilon Gorzów score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goczałkowice Zdrój | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Stilon Gorzów | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Goczałkowice Zdrój sit 14th in III Liga - Group 3 (4 points from 5 matches) and Stilon Gorzów sit 11th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Stilon Gorzów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
| 14 | Goczałkowice Zdrój | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Stilon Gorzów?
- The Footlab model makes Goczałkowice Zdrój the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Stilon Gorzów.
- Where and when is Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Stilon Gorzów played?
- Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Stilon Gorzów is played on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Panatoni Arena, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026SKRA CzęstochowavsGórnik Polkowice
- Nov 14, 2026Stal BrzegvsZaglebie Sosnowiec
- Nov 14, 2026KluczborkvsCarina Gubin
- Nov 14, 2026Miedź Legnica IIvsROW Rybnik
- Nov 14, 2026Ślęza WrocławvsZagłębie Lubin II
- Nov 14, 2026Warta GorzówvsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Nov 14, 2026Sparta KatowicevsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Nov 14, 2026SłowianinvsBarycz Sułów