SKRA Częstochowa vs Odra Bytom Odrzański: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)KS Skra Częstochowa Akademia, Częstochowa
The Footlab model makes SKRA Częstochowa the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Odra Bytom Odrzański. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SKRA Częstochowa vs Odra Bytom Odrzański?
SKRA Częstochowa starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,782 vs 1,682).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SKRA Częstochowa have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Odra Bytom Odrzański have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Słowianin(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 22, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 16, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 13, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Górnik Zabrze II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rakow II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
SKRA Częstochowa score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Odra Bytom Odrzański score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKRA Częstochowa | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Odra Bytom Odrzański | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Odra Bytom Odrzański | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SKRA Częstochowa vs Odra Bytom Odrzański?
- The Footlab model makes SKRA Częstochowa the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Odra Bytom Odrzański.
- Where and when is SKRA Częstochowa vs Odra Bytom Odrzański played?
- SKRA Częstochowa vs Odra Bytom Odrzański is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at KS Skra Częstochowa Akademia, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Zaglebie SosnowiecvsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Nov 21, 2026KluczborkvsBarycz Sułów
- Nov 21, 2026Miedź Legnica IIvsCarina Gubin
- Nov 21, 2026Ślęza WrocławvsStilon Gorzów
- Nov 21, 2026Goczałkowice ZdrójvsStal Brzeg
- Nov 21, 2026Warta GorzówvsROW Rybnik
- Nov 21, 2026Sparta KatowicevsZagłębie Lubin II
- Nov 21, 2026SłowianinvsGórnik Polkowice