Match

SKRA Częstochowa vs Sparta Katowice: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 24Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)KS Skra Częstochowa Akademia, Częstochowa

SKRA CzęstochowaSparta Katowice

The Footlab model makes SKRA Częstochowa the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Sparta Katowice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SKRA Częstochowa vs Sparta Katowice?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate SKRA Częstochowa (1,782) and Sparta Katowice (1,832).

SKRA Częstochowa win40 %
Draw25 %
Sparta Katowice win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SKRA Częstochowa have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Sparta Katowice have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SKRA Częstochowa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 30, 2026Słowianin(away)1-2III Liga - Group 3
May 22, 2026Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)4-0III Liga - Group 3
May 16, 2026Sparta Katowice(away)0-1III Liga - Group 3
May 13, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
May 9, 2026Górnik Zabrze II(home)1-2III Liga - Group 3
Sparta Katowice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)3-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026Stal Brzeg(away)1-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Stilon Gorzów(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Zagłębie Lubin II(away)0-1III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 SKRA Częstochowa win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Sparta Katowice win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Sparta Katowice 1-0 SKRA CzęstochowaIII Liga - Group 3
Oct 31, 2025SKRA Częstochowa 1-2 Sparta KatowiceIII Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Sparta Katowice vs SKRA Częstochowa on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SKRA Częstochowa score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Katowice score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SKRA Częstochowa2.01.349/1513/15
Sparta Katowice1.90.968/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Sparta Katowice53118410

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SKRA Częstochowa vs Sparta Katowice?
The Footlab model makes SKRA Częstochowa the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Sparta Katowice.
Where and when is SKRA Częstochowa vs Sparta Katowice played?
SKRA Częstochowa vs Sparta Katowice is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at KS Skra Częstochowa Akademia, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: SKRA Częstochowa and Sparta Katowice

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