Warta Gorzów vs Stilon Gorzów: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 24Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, Gorzów Wielkopolski
The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Stilon Gorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warta Gorzów vs Stilon Gorzów?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Warta Gorzów (1,764) and Stilon Gorzów (1,724).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Gorzów have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Stilon Gorzów have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Bytom Odrzański(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carina Gubin(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rakow II(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Warta Gorzów win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Stilon Gorzów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Warta Gorzów 2-0 Stilon Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Stilon Gorzów 2-3 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 11, 2024 | Warta Gorzów 1-1 Stilon Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Stilon Gorzów 0-2 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jun 10, 2023 | Warta Gorzów 2-0 Stilon Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Stilon Gorzów 1-1 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Warta Gorzów vs Stilon Gorzów on Mar 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Stilon Gorzów score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warta Gorzów | 0.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Stilon Gorzów | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warta Gorzów sit 10th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Stilon Gorzów sit 11th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warta Gorzów | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
| 11 | Stilon Gorzów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warta Gorzów vs Stilon Gorzów?
- The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Stilon Gorzów.
- Where and when is Warta Gorzów vs Stilon Gorzów played?
- Warta Gorzów vs Stilon Gorzów is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 27, 2027Zaglebie SosnowiecvsBarycz Sułów
- Mar 27, 2027ROW RybnikvsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Mar 27, 2027SKRA CzęstochowavsSparta Katowice
- Mar 27, 2027KluczborkvsGoczałkowice Zdrój
- Mar 27, 2027Miedź Legnica IIvsStal Brzeg
- Mar 27, 2027Carina GubinvsGórnik Polkowice
- Mar 27, 2027Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsZagłębie Lubin II
- Mar 27, 2027SłowianinvsŚlęza Wrocław