Where and when is Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs SKRA Częstochowa played?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs SKRA Częstochowa is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at ArcelorMittal Park, in the III Liga - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs SKRA Częstochowa: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 25Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

SKRA Częstochowa

The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Sosnowiec the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for SKRA Częstochowa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs SKRA Częstochowa?

A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Zaglebie Sosnowiec (1,710) and SKRA Częstochowa (1,782).

Zaglebie Sosnowiec win38 %

Draw25 %

SKRA Częstochowa win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaglebie Sosnowiec have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; SKRA Częstochowa have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Carina Gubin(away)	4-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Ślęza Wrocław(home)	3-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 16, 2026	ROW Rybnik(away)	1-4	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 9, 2026	Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 5, 2026	Tychy 71(away)	0-1	Cup

SKRA Częstochowa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 30, 2026	Słowianin(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 3
May 22, 2026	Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)	4-0	III Liga - Group 3
May 16, 2026	Sparta Katowice(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 3
May 13, 2026	Ślęza Wrocław(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
May 9, 2026	Górnik Zabrze II(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Zaglebie Sosnowiec win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 SKRA Częstochowa win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 17, 2026	Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-2 SKRA Częstochowa	Friendlies Clubs
Oct 12, 2024	Zaglebie Sosnowiec 4-1 SKRA Częstochowa	II Liga - East
Mar 12, 2023	Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0-1 SKRA Częstochowa	I Liga
Jan 18, 2023	Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2-3 SKRA Częstochowa	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 13, 2022	SKRA Częstochowa 1-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec	I Liga
Mar 20, 2022	SKRA Częstochowa 1-2 Zaglebie Sosnowiec	I Liga

Last archived meeting: Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs SKRA Częstochowa on Apr 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SKRA Częstochowa score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1.2	1.5	5	6/15	8/15
SKRA Częstochowa	2.0	1.3	4	9/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	5	3	1	1	10	5	10

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs SKRA Częstochowa?: The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Sosnowiec the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for SKRA Częstochowa.
Where and when is Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs SKRA Częstochowa played?: Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs SKRA Częstochowa is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at ArcelorMittal Park, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.