Tolmin vs Litija: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 24Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Na Brajdi, Tolmin
The Footlab AI model makes Tolmin the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Litija. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tolmin wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tolmin vs Litija?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Tolmin (1,491) and Litija (1,489).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tolmin vs Litija
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tolmin
Not enough data to predict the Tolmin lineup.
Litija
Not enough data to predict the Litija lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tolmin have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Litija have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija(away) | 0-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Svoboda(home) | 2-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje(home) | 5-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Izola(home) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Žiri(away) | 4-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dob(home) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Vipava(away) | 4-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Adria(home) | 3-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 19, 2026 | IB 1975 Ljubljana(away) | 3-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Šobec Lesce(away) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Tolmin score 2.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Litija score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tolmin | 2.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Litija | 1.6 | 1.5 | 7 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tolmin sit 6th in 3. SNL - West (15 points from 9 matches) and Litija sit 5th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Litija | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 15 |
| 6 | Tolmin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 15 |
A question about Tolmin vs Litija?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tolmin vs Litija?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tolmin the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Litija.
- Where and when is Tolmin vs Litija played?
- Tolmin vs Litija is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Na Brajdi, in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.