Lokomotiv vs Pakhtakor: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Lokomotiv, Tashkent
The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Pakhtakor. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lokomotiv wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotiv vs Pakhtakor?
On Elo ratings, Lokomotiv has 1,703 points and Pakhtakor 1,879.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lokomotiv vs Pakhtakor
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lokomotiv
4-3-3- 11T. Abdukholikov
- 9S. Nurulloyev
- 10S. Shodiboev
- 17S. Mirzaev
- 8B. Tupliyev
- 45J. Nišić
- 18O. Kucherenko
- 33O. Zoteev
- 28S. Muhammadiyev
- 15A. Šušnjar
- 1A. Kozlov
Pakhtakor
4-2-3-1- 29Aymen Hussein
- 21B. Resan
- 7K. Alijonov
- 50Flamarion
- 27S. Sobirkho'jaev
- 23Abdurauf Bo'riyev
- 55M. Abdumajidov
- 4Zayed Tahseen
- 34S. Nasrullayev
- 5M. Pouraliganji
- 35S. Kuvvatov
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Pakhtakor have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sogdiana(away) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Neftchi(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Bunyodkor(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Mash'al(home) | 3-0 | Super League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Navbahor(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(home) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Bunyodkor(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mash'al(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Olmaliq(away) | 3-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lokomotiv win, 1 draw, 4 Pakhtakor wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | Pakhtakor 1-1 Lokomotiv | Super League |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Pakhtakor 3-1 Lokomotiv | Super League |
| Mar 14, 2024 | Lokomotiv 3-0 Pakhtakor | Super League |
| Oct 24, 2022 | Pakhtakor 2-0 Lokomotiv | Super League |
| May 23, 2022 | Lokomotiv 0-2 Pakhtakor | Super League |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Lokomotiv 0-3 Pakhtakor | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Pakhtakor vs Lokomotiv on Jul 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Pakhtakor score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv | 1.9 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Pakhtakor | 1.6 | 0.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotiv sit 5th in Super League (38 points from 23 matches) and Pakhtakor sit 1st (52 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 42 | 21 | 52 |
| 5 | Lokomotiv | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 30 | 38 |
A question about Lokomotiv vs Pakhtakor?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv vs Pakhtakor?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Pakhtakor.
- Where and when is Lokomotiv vs Pakhtakor played?
- Lokomotiv vs Pakhtakor is played on November 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Lokomotiv, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.