Solbiatese vs Pavia: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Solbiatese the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Pavia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Solbiatese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,373 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Solbiatese vs Pavia?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Solbiatese (1,635) and Pavia (1,603).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Solbiatese vs Pavia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Solbiatese
Not enough data to predict the Solbiatese lineup.
Pavia
Not enough data to predict the Pavia lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Solbiatese have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Pavia have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pro Sesto(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pro Patria(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Castellanzese(home) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Pavia(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | USD Casatese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(home) | 1-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Correggese(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Arconatese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Solbiatese wins, 1 draw, 0 Pavia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Pavia 0-0 Solbiatese | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Solbiatese score 0.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 6; Pavia score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solbiatese | 0.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 2/6 | 1/6 |
| Pavia | 1.0 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Solbiatese sit 13th in Serie D - Girone D (6 points from 6 matches) and Pavia sit 10th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pavia | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
| 13 | Solbiatese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Solbiatese vs Pavia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Solbiatese vs Pavia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Solbiatese the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Pavia.
- Where and when is Solbiatese vs Pavia played?
- Solbiatese vs Pavia is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.