Match

Pavia vs Solbiatese: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 3Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

PaviaSolbiatese

The Footlab model makes Pavia the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Solbiatese. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pavia vs Solbiatese?

Pavia win37 %
Draw29 %
Solbiatese win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pavia have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Solbiatese have 0, 0 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pavia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 19, 2026Pisa(away)1-6Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Breno(away)1-0Serie D - Girone B
May 3, 2026Chievo(away)1-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(home)3-0Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026USD Casatese(away)0-1Serie D - Girone B

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pavia vs Solbiatese?
The Footlab model makes Pavia the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Solbiatese.
Where and when is Pavia vs Solbiatese played?
Pavia vs Solbiatese is played on September 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone D.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Pavia and Solbiatese

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