Arconatese vs Pistoiese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Centro Sportivo Comunale Roberto Battaglia, Busto Garolfo
The Footlab AI model makes Pistoiese the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Arconatese. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arconatese vs Pistoiese?
Pistoiese is a heavy favourite: 1,877 Elo points against 1,522, a 355-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arconatese vs Pistoiese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arconatese
Not enough data to predict the Arconatese lineup.
Pistoiese
Not enough data to predict the Pistoiese lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arconatese have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Pistoiese have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pro Sesto(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pavia(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pro Patria(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Pistoiese(away) | 0-5 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Correggese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Sestri Levante(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Varesina(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Arconatese wins, 0 draws, 1 Pistoiese win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Pistoiese 5-0 Arconatese | Serie D - Girone D |
Last archived meeting: Pistoiese vs Arconatese on Sep 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arconatese score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pistoiese score 1.9 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arconatese | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Pistoiese | 1.9 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arconatese sit 16th in Serie D - Girone D (3 points from 7 matches) and Pistoiese sit 1st (21 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 21 |
| 16 | Arconatese | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 3 |
A question about Arconatese vs Pistoiese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arconatese vs Pistoiese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pistoiese the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Arconatese.
- Where and when is Arconatese vs Pistoiese played?
- Arconatese vs Pistoiese is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Centro Sportivo Comunale Roberto Battaglia, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.