Somozas vs Arenteiro: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alcalde Manuel Candocia, As Somozas
The Footlab AI model makes Somozas the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Arenteiro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Somozas wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Somozas vs Arenteiro?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Somozas (1,744) and Arenteiro (1,709).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Somozas vs Arenteiro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Somozas
Not enough data to predict the Somozas lineup.
Arenteiro
4-3-3- 7David Ferreiro
- 11J. Cuéllar
- 9Nacho Ramón
- 21Álex López
- 10Chuca
- 6B. Val
- 5Gorka Pérez
- 4E. Falcon
- 15D. Moreno
- 16Daniel Lasure
- 1Álvaro Abajas
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Somozas have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Arenteiro have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sarriana(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Antela(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pontevedra II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lalin(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sarriana(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Antela(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pontevedra II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lalin(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Portonovo SD(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Somozas wins, 1 draw, 2 Arenteiro wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2021 | Arenteiro 5-0 Somozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 4, 2021 | Somozas 0-1 Arenteiro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 15, 2020 | Somozas 2-2 Arenteiro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Somozas score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Arenteiro score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Somozas | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Arenteiro | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Somozas sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (6 points from 6 matches) and Arenteiro sit 18th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Somozas | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 18 | Arenteiro | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
A question about Somozas vs Arenteiro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Somozas vs Arenteiro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Somozas the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Arenteiro.
- Where and when is Somozas vs Arenteiro played?
- Somozas vs Arenteiro is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alcalde Manuel Candocia, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.