Celta de Vigo III vs Barco: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Barreiro, Vigo
The Footlab AI model makes Celta de Vigo III the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Barco. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celta de Vigo III wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,677 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celta de Vigo III vs Barco?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Celta de Vigo III (1,779) and Barco (1,769).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celta de Vigo III vs Barco
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celta de Vigo III
Not enough data to predict the Celta de Vigo III lineup.
Barco
Not enough data to predict the Barco lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celta de Vigo III have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Barco have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Boiro(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Celtiga(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Coruña(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sarriana(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sarriana(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Antela(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pontevedra II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lalin(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Celta de Vigo III wins, 1 draw, 1 Barco win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Celta de Vigo III 4-2 Barco | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Barco 1-2 Celta de Vigo III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Barco 1-0 Celta de Vigo III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Celta de Vigo III 1-1 Barco | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Celta de Vigo III vs Barco on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Celta de Vigo III score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Barco score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta de Vigo III | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Barco | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celta de Vigo III sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (7 points from 7 matches) and Barco sit 6th (12 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Barco | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Celta de Vigo III | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 7 |
A question about Celta de Vigo III vs Barco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celta de Vigo III vs Barco?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celta de Vigo III the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Barco.
- Where and when is Celta de Vigo III vs Barco played?
- Celta de Vigo III vs Barco is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Barreiro, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.