Estradense vs Pontevedra II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal do Concello da Estrada, A Estrada
The Footlab AI model makes Estradense the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Pontevedra II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Estradense wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.4% of the 3,651 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estradense vs Pontevedra II?
Estradense starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,827 vs 1,664).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estradense vs Pontevedra II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estradense
Not enough data to predict the Estradense lineup.
Pontevedra II
4-3-3- FFran López
- BBerni
- HHugo Padín
- IIker Arango
- MManuel Rancaño Miguez
- SSanti Garrido
- PPablo Arnosi Seoane
- AAlejandro Pacheco
- SSergio Abal
- GGabriel Jar Rodríguez
- CCarlos GarcÃa
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 11:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estradense have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Pontevedra II have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Viveiro(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Silva(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Villalbés(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Boiro(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Celtiga(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Silva(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lalin(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Portonovo SD(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Barco(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Arenteiro(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Estradense win, 0 draws, 1 Pontevedra II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | Estradense 2-1 Pontevedra II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Pontevedra II 2-0 Estradense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Estradense vs Pontevedra II on Mar 28, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Estradense score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pontevedra II score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estradense | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Pontevedra II | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estradense sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (13 points from 8 matches) and Pontevedra II sit 14th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Estradense | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
| 14 | Pontevedra II | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
A question about Estradense vs Pontevedra II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estradense vs Pontevedra II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Estradense the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Pontevedra II.
- Where and when is Estradense vs Pontevedra II played?
- Estradense vs Pontevedra II is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal do Concello da Estrada, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.