Soneja vs Jove Español: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Camp El Arco, Soneja
The Footlab model makes Soneja the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Jove Español. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Soneja vs Jove Español?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Soneja (1,747) and Jove Español (1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Soneja have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Jove Español have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Jove Español(home) | 5-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Roda(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | RC Catarroja(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Torrellano(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Hércules II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Intercity(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Soneja(away) | 2-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Buñol(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Utiel(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Vall de Uxó(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Soneja win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Jove Español win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Soneja 5-2 Jove Español | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Jove Español 3-1 Soneja | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Soneja 3-0 Jove Español | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Jove Español 1-1 Soneja | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Soneja 0-1 Jove Español | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Jove Español 4-0 Soneja | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
Last archived meeting: Soneja vs Jove Español on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Soneja score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Jove Español score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soneja | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Jove Español | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Soneja sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 (45 points from 34 matches) and Jove Español sit 14th (38 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Soneja | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 35 | 42 | 45 |
| 14 | Jove Español | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35 | 44 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Soneja vs Jove Español?
- The Footlab model makes Soneja the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Jove Español.
- Where and when is Soneja vs Jove Español played?
- Soneja vs Jove Español is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Camp El Arco, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.