Sonsbeck vs SC St. Tönis: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC)Willy-Lemkens-Sportpark, Sonsbeck
The Footlab model makes SC St. Tönis the favourite at 44%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Sonsbeck. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sonsbeck vs SC St. Tönis?
SC St. Tönis starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,834 vs 1,728).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sonsbeck have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; SC St. Tönis have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Scherpenberg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SF Baumberg(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Biemenhorst(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | SC St. Tönis(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | SF Baumberg(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 0-11 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Solingen-Wald(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Hilden(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sonsbeck win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 SC St. Tönis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Sonsbeck 4-2 SC St. Tönis | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Dec 7, 2025 | SC St. Tönis 2-1 Sonsbeck | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Mar 9, 2025 | SC St. Tönis 2-2 Sonsbeck | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Sonsbeck 1-0 SC St. Tönis | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Apr 28, 2024 | SC St. Tönis 2-1 Sonsbeck | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Sonsbeck 2-0 SC St. Tönis | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
Last archived meeting: Sonsbeck vs SC St. Tönis on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sonsbeck score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SC St. Tönis score 1.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonsbeck | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| SC St. Tönis | 1.9 | 2.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sonsbeck sit 12th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (1 points from 1 matches) and SC St. Tönis sit 7th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | SC St. Tönis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Sonsbeck | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sonsbeck vs SC St. Tönis?
- The Footlab model makes SC St. Tönis the favourite at 44%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Sonsbeck.
- Where and when is Sonsbeck vs SC St. Tönis played?
- Sonsbeck vs SC St. Tönis is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC) at Willy-Lemkens-Sportpark, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Dec 6, 2026Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.vsWuppertaler SV
- Dec 6, 2026MeerbuschvsBW Dingden
- Dec 6, 2026MonheimvsGermania Ratingen
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