Ovarense vs Florgrade: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BGroup B - 21Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Marques da Silva, Ovar
The Footlab AI model makes Ovarense the favourite at 56%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for Florgrade. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,810 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ovarense vs Florgrade?
On Elo ratings, Ovarense has 1,868 points and Florgrade 1,872.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ovarense vs Florgrade
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ovarense
Not enough data to predict the Ovarense lineup.
Florgrade
Not enough data to predict the Florgrade lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 06:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Ovarense have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Florgrade have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Beira-Mar(home) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Os Marialvas(home) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sousense(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 23, 2026 | União Lamas(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Castro Daire(away) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Portimonense(home) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Machico(away) | 0-4 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Camacha(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sanjoanense(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Camacha(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
How many goals should we expect?
Ovarense score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 10; Florgrade score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ovarense | 2.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 5/9 | 4/9 |
| Florgrade | 1.0 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ovarense sit 1st in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B (12 points from 4 matches) and Florgrade sit 6th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ovarense | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Florgrade | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
A question about Ovarense vs Florgrade?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ovarense vs Florgrade?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ovarense the favourite at 56%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for Florgrade.
- Where and when is Ovarense vs Florgrade played?
- Ovarense vs Florgrade is played on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Marques da Silva, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.