Sousense vs União Lamas: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BGroup B - 4Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio 1º De Dezembro, Foz do Sousa
The Footlab model makes Sousense the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for União Lamas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sousense vs União Lamas?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Sousense (1,749) and União Lamas (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Sousense have 2 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; União Lamas have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Castro Daire(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cinfães(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Jul 25, 2026 | União Lamas(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 24, 2017 | Oleiros(away) | 0-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 3, 2017 | Paredes(home) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Ovarense(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Florgrade(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Feirense(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sousense(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Os Marialvas(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Sousense win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 União Lamas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sousense 2-1 União Lamas | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Sousense vs União Lamas on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sousense score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 7; União Lamas score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sousense | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1 | 2/7 | 3/7 |
| União Lamas | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sousense sit 14th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B (0 points from 2 matches) and União Lamas sit 11th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | União Lamas | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Sousense | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sousense vs União Lamas?
- The Footlab model makes Sousense the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for União Lamas.
- Where and when is Sousense vs União Lamas played?
- Sousense vs União Lamas is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio 1º De Dezembro, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.