Southampton vs Derby: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
Full time
What was the result of Southampton vs Derby?
Southampton won 2-1 on April 11, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 38′C. MorrisDerby
- 62′Léo ScienzaSouthampton
- 69′T. Harwood-BellisSouthampton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southampton have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Derby have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 5-1 | Championship |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Norwich(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Birmingham(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Southampton win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Derby 1-1 Southampton | Championship |
| Jan 16, 2019 | Southampton 4-4 Derby | FA Cup |
| Jan 5, 2019 | Derby 2-2 Southampton | FA Cup |
| Feb 18, 2012 | Southampton 4-0 Derby | Championship |
| Oct 15, 2011 | Derby 1-1 Southampton | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Southampton score 2.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 2.2 | 0.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Derby | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Southampton sit 24th in Championship (-4 points from 1 matches) and Derby sit 17th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Derby | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 | Southampton | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy