Sheffield Utd vs Southampton: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Bramall Lane, Sheffield
The Footlab AI model makes Southampton the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Sheffield Utd. The most likely score is 1-1. If Southampton wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sheffield Utd vs Southampton?
Southampton starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (2,090 vs 1,972).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sheffield Utd vs Southampton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sheffield Utd
4-4-2- 9T. Cannon
- 45P. Bamford
- 22B. Brereton
- 19T. Chong
- 42Sydie Peck
- 4O. Arblaster
- 5J. Tanganga
- 15L. Kitching
- 8H. Choudhury
- 3S. McCallum
- 1M. Cooper
Southampton
4-2-3-1- 9C. Larin
- 10F. Azaz
- 30J. Ward-Prowse
- 7Léo Scienza
- 4F. Downes
- 26Cameron Bragg
- 13K. Schlotterbeck
- 5J. Stephens
- 14J. Bree
- 3R. Manning
- 1Daniel Peretz
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sheffield Utd have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Southampton have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sheffield Utd wins, 1 draw, 5 Southampton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | Southampton 1-0 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Sheffield Utd 1-2 Southampton | Championship |
| Sep 21, 2021 | Sheffield Utd 2-2 Southampton | League Cup |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Sheffield Utd 0-2 Southampton | Premier League |
| Dec 13, 2020 | Southampton 3-0 Sheffield Utd | Premier League |
| Jul 26, 2020 | Southampton 3-1 Sheffield Utd | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Southampton vs Sheffield Utd on Jan 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sheffield Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Southampton score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Southampton | 1.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sheffield Utd sit 11th in Championship (15 points from 11 matches) and Southampton sit 7th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Southampton | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 17 |
| 11 | Sheffield Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 15 |
A question about Sheffield Utd vs Southampton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sheffield Utd vs Southampton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Southampton the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Sheffield Utd.
- Where and when is Sheffield Utd vs Southampton played?
- Sheffield Utd vs Southampton is played on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Bramall Lane, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.