Southampton vs Wrexham: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
The Footlab AI model makes Southampton the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Wrexham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Southampton wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,373 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Southampton vs Wrexham?
On Elo ratings, Southampton has 2,070 points and Wrexham 2,037.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Southampton vs Wrexham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Southampton
4-2-3-1- 9C. Larin
- 7Léo Scienza
- 4F. Downes
- 10F. Azaz
- 30J. Ward-Prowse
- 26Cameron Bragg
- 14J. Bree
- 13K. Schlotterbeck
- 3R. Manning
- 5J. Stephens
- 1Daniel Peretz
Wrexham
3-4-2-1- 19K. Moore
- 8B. Whiteman
- 3J. Ekomié
- 17C. O'Hare
- 12I. Kaboré
- 10J. Windass
- 27L. O'Brien
- 5D. Hyam
- 26Z. Vyner
- 2C. Doyle
- 22A. Patterson
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southampton have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Wrexham have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Lincoln(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Derby(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 0-6 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Southampton wins, 0 draws, 1 Wrexham win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Wrexham 2-1 Southampton | Championship |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Wrexham 1-5 Southampton | Championship |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Southampton 2-1 Wrexham | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Wrexham vs Southampton on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Southampton score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Wrexham score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 2.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Wrexham | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Southampton sit 13th in Championship (13 points from 9 matches) and Wrexham sit 16th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Southampton | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 13 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 11 |
A question about Southampton vs Wrexham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Southampton vs Wrexham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Southampton the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Wrexham.
- Where and when is Southampton vs Wrexham played?
- Southampton vs Wrexham is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at St. Mary's Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.