Bolton vs Norwich: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton
The Footlab AI model makes Bolton the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Norwich. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bolton wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,752 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bolton vs Norwich?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Bolton (1,961) and Norwich (1,945).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bolton vs Norwich
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bolton
4-2-3-1- 10S. Dalby
- 8J. Sheehan
- 22Gaizka Larrazabal
- 11T. Gale
- 17A. Ito
- 21E. Erhahon
- 18E. Toal
- 14A. Famewo
- 5L. Brunt
- 27Luca Stephenson
- 31G. Bazunu
Norwich
4-2-3-1- 30M. Kvistgaarden
- 7P. Mattsson
- 11A. Brooks
- 29O. Schwartau
- 16Jacob Wright
- 20A. Ben Slimane
- 33J. Córdoba
- 15Ruairi McConville
- 3J. Stacey
- 14B. Chrisene
- 32D. Grimshaw
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 07:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bolton have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Norwich have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Southampton(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 4-3 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cardiff(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 3-4 | Championship |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 0-5 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bolton wins, 1 draw, 3 Norwich wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Norwich 3-4 Bolton | Championship |
| Feb 16, 2019 | Bolton 0-4 Norwich | Championship |
| Dec 8, 2018 | Norwich 3-2 Bolton | Championship |
| Feb 24, 2018 | Norwich 0-0 Bolton | Championship |
| Nov 4, 2017 | Bolton 2-1 Norwich | Championship |
| Apr 11, 2015 | Bolton 1-2 Norwich | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Bolton score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Norwich score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Norwich | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bolton sit 15th in Championship (14 points from 11 matches) and Norwich sit 21st (9 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bolton | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 14 |
| 21 | Norwich | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 21 | 9 |
A question about Bolton vs Norwich?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bolton vs Norwich?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bolton the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Norwich.
- Where and when is Bolton vs Norwich played?
- Bolton vs Norwich is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Toughsheet Community Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.