Sheffield Utd vs Stoke City: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bramall Lane, Sheffield
The Footlab model makes Sheffield Utd the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Stoke City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sheffield Utd vs Stoke City?
Sheffield Utd starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,924 vs 1,788).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sheffield Utd have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Stoke City have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Birmingham(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mansfield Town(away) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfL Bochum(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Southampton(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oldham(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Valencia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Everton(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Sheffield Utd win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Stoke City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | Stoke City 1-2 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Sheffield Utd 4-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Stoke City 0-2 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Sheffield Utd 2-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Sheffield Utd 3-1 Stoke City | Championship |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Stoke City 3-1 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd on Dec 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sheffield Utd score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Stoke City score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Stoke City | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sheffield Utd sit 15th in Championship (2 points from 2 matches) and Stoke City sit 21st (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 21 | Stoke City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sheffield Utd vs Stoke City?
- The Footlab model makes Sheffield Utd the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Stoke City.
- Where and when is Sheffield Utd vs Stoke City played?
- Sheffield Utd vs Stoke City is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bramall Lane, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.