Sheffield Utd vs Stoke City: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bramall Lane, Sheffield
The Footlab AI model makes Sheffield Utd the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Stoke City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sheffield Utd wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,732 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sheffield Utd vs Stoke City?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Sheffield Utd (1,972) and Stoke City (1,909).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sheffield Utd vs Stoke City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sheffield Utd
4-4-2- 9T. Cannon
- 45P. Bamford
- 22B. Brereton
- 19T. Chong
- 42Sydie Peck
- 4O. Arblaster
- 5J. Tanganga
- 15L. Kitching
- 8H. Choudhury
- 3S. McCallum
- 1M. Cooper
Stoke City
3-4-3- 7J. McGlynn
- 11L. Cissé
- 13J. Devenny
- 2B. Johnson
- 8E. Galbraith
- 27El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
- 17E. Bocat
- 16B. Wilmot
- 5L. Graham
- 18B. Lawal
- 1V. Johansson
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sheffield Utd have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Stoke City have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Derby(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Watford(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Sheffield Utd wins, 0 draws, 1 Stoke City win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stoke City 2-1 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2025 | Stoke City 1-2 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Sheffield Utd 4-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Stoke City 0-2 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Sheffield Utd 2-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Sheffield Utd 3-1 Stoke City | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sheffield Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stoke City score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Stoke City | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sheffield Utd sit 11th in Championship (15 points from 11 matches) and Stoke City sit 6th (19 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Stoke City | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 19 |
| 11 | Sheffield Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 15 |
A question about Sheffield Utd vs Stoke City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sheffield Utd vs Stoke City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sheffield Utd the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Stoke City.
- Where and when is Sheffield Utd vs Stoke City played?
- Sheffield Utd vs Stoke City is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bramall Lane, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.