AFC Fylde vs Southend: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 18, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Mill Farm Stadium, Wesham
The Footlab AI model makes AFC Fylde the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Southend. The most likely score is 1-1. If AFC Fylde wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,370 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Fylde vs Southend?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate AFC Fylde (1,948) and Southend (1,967).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AFC Fylde vs Southend
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AFC Fylde
4-3-3- 8T. Whelan
- 7Luca Thomas
- 19C. Main
- 6C. Merrie
- 10D. Mayor
- 14G. Olley
- 17C. Whelan
- 29A. Drewe
- 15W. Lancaster
- 3H. Broad
- 1Z. Jones
Southend
4-3-3- 9H. Cardwell
- 14P. Omochere
- 27R. Colclough
- 19L. Chambers-Parillon
- 8D. Oldaker
- 4A. Hartigan
- 2V. Campbell
- 3Kyle James McAdam
- 6B. Goodliffe
- 20D. Cox
- 1J. Duncan
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Fylde have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Southend have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Southend(away) | 1-3 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Carlisle(home) | 0-2 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | AFC Fylde(home) | 3-1 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 2-4 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 6-1 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 AFC Fylde wins, 0 draws, 3 Southend wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Southend 3-1 AFC Fylde | National League |
| Jan 28, 2025 | Southend 2-0 AFC Fylde | National League |
| Sep 17, 2024 | AFC Fylde 2-1 Southend | National League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | AFC Fylde 0-2 Southend | National League |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Southend 1-2 AFC Fylde | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Fylde score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Southend score 2.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Fylde | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Southend | 2.4 | 1.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Fylde sit 7th in National League (23 points from 13 matches) and Southend sit 3rd (27 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Southend | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 19 | 27 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 23 |
A question about AFC Fylde vs Southend?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Fylde vs Southend?
- The Footlab AI model makes AFC Fylde the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Southend.
- Where and when is AFC Fylde vs Southend played?
- AFC Fylde vs Southend is played on December 18, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Mill Farm Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.