Woking vs Southend: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Laithwaite Community Stadium, Woking, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Southend the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Woking. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Woking vs Southend?
Southend starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,950 vs 1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Woking have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Southend have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AFC Fylde(home) | 3-2 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | West Bromwich Albion U21(home) | 0-0 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sutton Utd(home) | 0-3 | National League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Reading(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Altrincham(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Aveley(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Woking win(s), 5 draw(s), 1 Southend win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | Southend 1-1 Woking | National League |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Woking 1-1 Southend | National League |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Southend 2-2 Woking | National League |
| Nov 26, 2024 | Woking 0-0 Southend | National League |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Southend 0-0 Woking | National League |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Woking 0-2 Southend | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Woking score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Southend score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Woking | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Southend | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Woking sit 18th in National League (3 points from 3 matches) and Southend sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southend | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 18 | Woking | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Woking vs Southend?
- The Footlab model makes Southend the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Woking.
- Where and when is Woking vs Southend played?
- Woking vs Southend is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Laithwaite Community Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.