Southport vs Hednesford Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 38Kick-off on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The BIG HELP Stadium, Southport, Merseyside
The Footlab model makes Southport the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Hednesford Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Southport vs Hednesford Town?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Southport (1,824) and Hednesford Town (1,858).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southport have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Hednesford Town have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 4-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hednesford Town(away) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Buxton(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hebburn Town(away) | 1-3 | National League - North |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AFC Telford United(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Southport(home) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(home) | 3-4 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Merthyr Town(away) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Boston United(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Southport win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hednesford Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hednesford Town 2-2 Southport | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Hednesford Town vs Southport on Aug 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Southport score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hednesford Town score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southport | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Hednesford Town | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Southport sit 11th in National League - North (5 points from 4 matches) and Hednesford Town sit 23rd (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Southport | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 |
| 23 | Hednesford Town | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Southport vs Hednesford Town?
- The Footlab model makes Southport the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Hednesford Town.
- Where and when is Southport vs Hednesford Town played?
- Southport vs Hednesford Town is played on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The BIG HELP Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.