Chester vs Darlington 1883: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 38Kick-off on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Deva Stadium, Chester, Cheshire
The Footlab AI model makes Chester the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Darlington 1883. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chester vs Darlington 1883?
Chester starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,967 vs 1,816).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chester vs Darlington 1883
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chester
4-3-3- 9J. Hazel
- 11B. Waters
- 17C. Woods
- 12D. Ward
- 24C. Murphy
- 4D. Weeks
- 3Nathan Woodthorpe
- 5J. Griffin
- 33Samuel Reed
- 15Isaac Burgess
- 1Luke Hewitson
Darlington 1883
Not enough data to predict the Darlington 1883 lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 11:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chester have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Darlington 1883 have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(away) | 1-4 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Worksop Town(home) | 4-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lower Breck(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Buxton(away) | 1-3 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | AFC Telford United(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hebburn Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Redcar Town(away) | 4-2 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chester wins, 2 draws, 1 Darlington 1883 win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Darlington 1883 0-1 Chester | National League - North |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Chester 2-1 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Darlington 1883 1-1 Chester | National League - North |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Chester 2-1 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
| Nov 5, 2024 | Darlington 1883 1-0 Chester | National League - North |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Chester 0-0 Darlington 1883 | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Darlington 1883 vs Chester on Aug 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chester score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Darlington 1883 score 1.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chester | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Darlington 1883 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chester sit 5th in National League - North (20 points from 11 matches) and Darlington 1883 sit 23rd (8 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Chester | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 20 |
| 23 | Darlington 1883 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 24 | 8 |
A question about Chester vs Darlington 1883?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chester vs Darlington 1883?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chester the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Darlington 1883.
- Where and when is Chester vs Darlington 1883 played?
- Chester vs Darlington 1883 is played on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Deva Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.