Where and when is Chorley vs Marine played?

Chorley vs Marine is played on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Victory Park, in the National League - North.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chorley vs Marine: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 38Kick-off on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Victory Park, Chorley, Lancashire

Chorley

Marine

The Footlab model makes Chorley the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Marine. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chorley vs Marine?

A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Chorley (1,780) and Marine (1,791).

Chorley win40 %

Draw26 %

Marine win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chorley have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Marine have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chorley
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Scarborough Athletic(home)	2-1	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Marine(away)	2-0	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	South Shields(away)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Chester(home)	1-2	National League - North
Jul 28, 2026	Trafford(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

Marine
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	King's Lynn Town(away)	4-1	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Chorley(home)	0-2	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Hereford(away)	0-1	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Macclesfield(home)	0-1	National League - North
Aug 1, 2026	Bootle(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chorley win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Marine win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Marine 0-2 Chorley	National League - North
Apr 6, 2026	Marine 2-1 Chorley	National League - North
Dec 30, 2025	Chorley 2-1 Marine	National League - North
Apr 12, 2025	Chorley 0-0 Marine	National League - North
Nov 16, 2024	Chorley 3-1 Marine	FA Trophy
Nov 5, 2024	Marine 3-0 Chorley	National League - North

Last archived meeting: Marine vs Chorley on Aug 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chorley score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Marine score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chorley	0.9	1.2	4	8/15	8/15
Marine	1.5	1.2	4	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chorley sit 9th in National League - North (6 points from 4 matches) and Marine sit 18th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Chorley	4	2	0	2	6	5	6
18	Marine	4	1	0	3	4	5	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chorley vs Marine?: The Footlab model makes Chorley the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Marine.
Where and when is Chorley vs Marine played?: Chorley vs Marine is played on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Victory Park, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.