Chorley vs Marine: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 38Kick-off on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Victory Park, Chorley, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Chorley the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Marine. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chorley wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,516 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chorley vs Marine?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Chorley (1,868) and Marine (1,877).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chorley vs Marine
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chorley
Not enough data to predict the Chorley lineup.
Marine
Not enough data to predict the Marine lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 05:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chorley have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Marine have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | AFC Telford United(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Barton Town Old Boys(away) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Merthyr Town(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chorley wins, 1 draw, 2 Marine wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Marine 0-2 Chorley | National League - North |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Marine 2-1 Chorley | National League - North |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Chorley 2-1 Marine | National League - North |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Chorley 0-0 Marine | National League - North |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Chorley 3-1 Marine | FA Trophy |
| Nov 5, 2024 | Marine 3-0 Chorley | National League - North |
How many goals should we expect?
Chorley score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Marine score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chorley | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Marine | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chorley sit 9th in National League - North (17 points from 11 matches) and Marine sit 13th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Chorley | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Marine | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 15 |
A question about Chorley vs Marine?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chorley vs Marine?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chorley the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Marine.
- Where and when is Chorley vs Marine played?
- Chorley vs Marine is played on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Victory Park, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 9, 2027MacclesfieldvsSpalding United
- Mar 9, 2027ChestervsDarlington 1883
- Mar 9, 2027SouthportvsHednesford Town
- Mar 9, 2027AFC Telford UnitedvsMerthyr Town
- Mar 9, 2027Spennymoor TownvsScarborough Athletic
- Mar 9, 2027Worksop TownvsHebburn Town
- Mar 9, 2027BuxtonvsBedford Town
- Mar 9, 2027RadcliffevsHereford