Match

Chester vs Hereford: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 36Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Deva Stadium, Chester, Cheshire

ChesterHereford

The Footlab AI model makes Chester the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Hereford. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chester wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,516 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chester vs Hereford?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Chester (1,940) and Hereford (1,895).

46%27%27%
Chester winDrawHereford win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Chester vs Hereford

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Chester

4-3-3
  1. 9J. Hazel
  2. 11B. Waters
  3. 17C. Woods
  1. 12D. Ward
  2. 24C. Murphy
  3. 4D. Weeks
  1. 3Nathan Woodthorpe
  2. 5J. Griffin
  3. 33Samuel Reed
  4. 15Isaac Burgess
  1. 1Luke Hewitson

Hereford

Not enough data to predict the Hereford lineup.

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 06:16 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chester have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Hereford have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chester
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Bedford Town(home)1-0National League - North
Oct 3, 2026Spennymoor Town(away)1-4FA Cup
Sep 26, 2026Worksop Town(home)4-1National League - North
Sep 19, 2026Lower Breck(away)2-1FA Cup
Sep 12, 2026Buxton(away)1-3National League - North
Hereford
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Hednesford Town(home)0-1National League - North
Sep 26, 2026Bedford Town(away)1-1National League - North
Sep 19, 2026Stafford Rangers(away)2-3FA Cup
Sep 12, 2026South Shields(home)6-0National League - North
Sep 8, 2026Harborough Town(away)3-0National League - North

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chester win, 4 draws, 1 Hereford win.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 29, 2026Hereford 1-1 ChesterNational League - North
Feb 24, 2026Hereford 5-2 ChesterNational League - North
Nov 25, 2025Chester 1-1 HerefordNational League - North
Apr 5, 2025Hereford 2-2 ChesterNational League - North
Nov 2, 2024Chester 3-0 HerefordNational League - North
Feb 20, 2024Hereford 1-1 ChesterNational League - North

Last archived meeting: Hereford vs Chester on Aug 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chester score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hereford score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chester1.30.967/156/15
Hereford1.70.976/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chester sit 4th in National League - North (20 points from 11 matches) and Hereford sit 2nd (23 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Hereford1172222623
4Chester1162314920

A question about Chester vs Hereford?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chester vs Hereford?
The Footlab AI model makes Chester the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Hereford.
Where and when is Chester vs Hereford played?
Chester vs Hereford is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Deva Stadium, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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