Scarborough Athletic vs Chorley: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 37Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Flamingo Land Stadium, Scarborough, North Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Scarborough Athletic the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Chorley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Scarborough Athletic wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,818 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Scarborough Athletic vs Chorley?
On Elo ratings, Scarborough Athletic has 1,865 points and Chorley 1,850.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Scarborough Athletic vs Chorley
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Scarborough Athletic
Not enough data to predict the Scarborough Athletic lineup.
Chorley
Not enough data to predict the Chorley lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 08:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Scarborough Athletic have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Chorley have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hebburn Town(away) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Radcliffe(away) | 1-4 | National League - North |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Macclesfield(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Macclesfield(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AFC Telford United(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Barton Town Old Boys(away) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Scarborough Athletic win, 2 draws, 3 Chorley wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chorley 2-1 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic 0-0 Chorley | National League - North |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Chorley 2-2 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
| Jan 28, 2025 | Scarborough Athletic 2-3 Chorley | National League - North |
| Aug 20, 2024 | Chorley 1-2 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Chorley 3-0 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Chorley vs Scarborough Athletic on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Scarborough Athletic score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chorley score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarborough Athletic | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Chorley | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Scarborough Athletic sit 14th in National League - North (15 points from 12 matches) and Chorley sit 10th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Chorley | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 15 |
A question about Scarborough Athletic vs Chorley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Scarborough Athletic vs Chorley?
- The Footlab AI model makes Scarborough Athletic the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Chorley.
- Where and when is Scarborough Athletic vs Chorley played?
- Scarborough Athletic vs Chorley is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Flamingo Land Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.