Spalding United vs Darlington 1883: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sir Halley Stewart Field, Spalding, Lincolnshire
The Footlab model makes Spalding United the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Darlington 1883. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spalding United vs Darlington 1883?
Spalding United starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,906 vs 1,781).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spalding United have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Darlington 1883 have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chester(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Macclesfield(home) | 0-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Radcliffe(away) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Harborough Town(away) | 2-4 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Chester(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bedford Town(away) | 3-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Worksop Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Spalding United score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Darlington 1883 score 1.1 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spalding United | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Darlington 1883 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spalding United sit 13th in National League - North (4 points from 4 matches) and Darlington 1883 sit 19th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Spalding United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 19 | Darlington 1883 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spalding United vs Darlington 1883?
- The Footlab model makes Spalding United the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Darlington 1883.
- Where and when is Spalding United vs Darlington 1883 played?
- Spalding United vs Darlington 1883 is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sir Halley Stewart Field, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026MorecambevsScarborough Athletic
- Oct 31, 2026ChestervsHednesford Town
- Oct 31, 2026SouthportvsAFC Telford United
- Oct 31, 2026Oxford CityvsSouth Shields
- Oct 31, 2026HerefordvsKing's Lynn Town
- Oct 31, 2026Spennymoor TownvsChorley
- Oct 31, 2026Worksop TownvsBrackley Town
- Oct 31, 2026Bedford TownvsMacclesfield