Match

Spennymoor Town vs Chorley: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Brewery Field, Spennymoor, County Durham

Spennymoor TownChorley

The Footlab AI model makes Spennymoor Town the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Chorley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Spennymoor Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,864 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Spennymoor Town vs Chorley?

A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Spennymoor Town (1,841) and Chorley (1,861).

42%26%32%
Spennymoor Town winDrawChorley win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Spennymoor Town vs Chorley

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Spennymoor Town

4-3-3
  1. 16Ben Pollock
  2. 11J. Mondal
  3. 36Cameron Salkeld
  1. 29M. Dolan
  2. 7M. Heaney
  3. 28Corey McKeown
  1. 3D. Jones
  2. 2O. Dyson
  3. 4M. Hancox
  4. 6Ben Beals
  1. 13Ryan Johnson

Chorley

Not enough data to predict the Chorley lineup.

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 01:31 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spennymoor Town have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Chorley have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Spennymoor Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Harborough Town(away)1-3FA Cup
Oct 10, 2026Brackley Town(away)1-2National League - North
Oct 3, 2026Chester(home)4-1FA Cup
Sep 26, 2026Southport(away)2-2National League - North
Sep 19, 2026AFC Emley(away)4-0FA Cup
Chorley
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Worcester City(home)1-1FA Cup
Oct 10, 2026AFC Telford United(home)2-1National League - North
Oct 3, 2026Barton Town Old Boys(away)4-1FA Cup
Sep 26, 2026Spalding United(home)2-1National League - North
Sep 19, 2026Rylands(away)1-0FA Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Spennymoor Town wins, 1 draw, 3 Chorley wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 24, 2026Spennymoor Town 1-0 ChorleyNational League - North
Nov 25, 2025Chorley 0-0 Spennymoor TownNational League - North
Mar 29, 2025Chorley 4-0 Spennymoor TownNational League - North
Oct 26, 2024Spennymoor Town 1-2 ChorleyNational League - North
Sep 28, 2024Spennymoor Town 1-0 ChorleyFA Cup
Feb 13, 2024Chorley 2-1 Spennymoor TownNational League - North

Last archived meeting: Spennymoor Town vs Chorley on Feb 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Spennymoor Town score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chorley score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Spennymoor Town1.51.9113/1512/15
Chorley1.71.5211/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Spennymoor Town sit 24th in National League - North (7 points from 11 matches) and Chorley sit 10th (17 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Chorley11524181817
24Spennymoor Town1114612237

A question about Spennymoor Town vs Chorley?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Spennymoor Town vs Chorley?
The Footlab AI model makes Spennymoor Town the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Chorley.
Where and when is Spennymoor Town vs Chorley played?
Spennymoor Town vs Chorley is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Brewery Field, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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