Where and when is Spennymoor Town vs Chorley played?

Spennymoor Town vs Chorley is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Brewery Field, in the National League - North.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Spennymoor Town vs Chorley: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Brewery Field, Spennymoor, County Durham

Spennymoor Town

Chorley

The Footlab model makes Chorley the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Spennymoor Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Spennymoor Town vs Chorley?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Spennymoor Town (1,797) and Chorley (1,776).

Spennymoor Town win35 %

Draw27 %

Chorley win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spennymoor Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Chorley have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Spennymoor Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Oxford City(home)	1-4	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Scarborough Athletic(away)	0-3	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Merthyr Town(home)	2-1	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Morecambe(away)	1-1	National League - North
Aug 1, 2026	Gateshead(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

Chorley
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Scarborough Athletic(home)	2-1	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Marine(away)	2-0	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	South Shields(away)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Chester(home)	1-2	National League - North
Jul 28, 2026	Trafford(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Spennymoor Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Chorley win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 24, 2026	Spennymoor Town 1-0 Chorley	National League - North
Nov 25, 2025	Chorley 0-0 Spennymoor Town	National League - North
Mar 29, 2025	Chorley 4-0 Spennymoor Town	National League - North
Oct 26, 2024	Spennymoor Town 1-2 Chorley	National League - North
Sep 28, 2024	Spennymoor Town 1-0 Chorley	FA Cup
Feb 13, 2024	Chorley 2-1 Spennymoor Town	National League - North

Last archived meeting: Spennymoor Town vs Chorley on Feb 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Spennymoor Town score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Chorley score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Spennymoor Town	1.2	1.4	2	10/15	8/15
Chorley	0.9	1.2	4	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Spennymoor Town sit 17th in National League - North (4 points from 4 matches) and Chorley sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Chorley	4	2	0	2	6	5	6
17	Spennymoor Town	4	1	1	2	4	9	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Spennymoor Town vs Chorley?: The Footlab model makes Chorley the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Spennymoor Town.
Where and when is Spennymoor Town vs Chorley played?: Spennymoor Town vs Chorley is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Brewery Field, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.