Darlington 1883 vs Bury: prediction and stats
FA TrophyRound of 128Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Blackwell Meadows, Darlington, Durham
The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Darlington 1883. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bury wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,250 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Darlington 1883 vs Bury?
Bury starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,829 vs 1,684).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Darlington 1883 vs Bury
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Darlington 1883
Not enough data to predict the Darlington 1883 lineup.
Bury
Not enough data to predict the Bury lineup.
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 08:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Darlington 1883 have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Bury have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Spalding United(away) | 2-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(home) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | AFC Telford United(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Avro(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Workington(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 5-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Prescot Cables(home) | 3-0 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Darlington 1883 score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bury score 2.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darlington 1883 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Bury | 2.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Darlington 1883 vs Bury?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Darlington 1883 vs Bury?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Darlington 1883.
- Where and when is Darlington 1883 vs Bury played?
- Darlington 1883 vs Bury is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Blackwell Meadows, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026Maidstone UtdvsMaidenhead
- Nov 14, 2026DovervsBurgess Hill Town
- Nov 14, 2026BraintreevsKettering Town
- Nov 14, 2026Alfreton TownvsSouthport
- Nov 14, 2026Billericay TownvsWaltham Abbey
- Nov 14, 2026ChorleyvsBuxton
- Nov 14, 2026Weston-super-MarevsFarnborough
- Nov 14, 2026Dagenham & RedbridgevsDorking Wanderers