Chester vs Hednesford Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Deva Stadium, Chester, Cheshire
The Footlab model makes Chester the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Hednesford Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chester vs Hednesford Town?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Chester (1,926) and Hednesford Town (1,858).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chester have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Hednesford Town have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AFC Telford United(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Southport(home) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(home) | 3-4 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Merthyr Town(away) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Boston United(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Chester win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hednesford Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2019 | Chester 2-1 Hednesford Town | FA Trophy |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Hednesford Town 0-0 Chester | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Chester vs Hednesford Town on Dec 17, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Chester score 1.3 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hednesford Town score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chester | 1.3 | 0.3 | 11 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Hednesford Town | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chester sit 1st in National League - North (12 points from 4 matches) and Hednesford Town sit 23rd (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chester | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 23 | Hednesford Town | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chester vs Hednesford Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chester the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Hednesford Town.
- Where and when is Chester vs Hednesford Town played?
- Chester vs Hednesford Town is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Deva Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026MorecambevsScarborough Athletic
- Oct 31, 2026SouthportvsAFC Telford United
- Oct 31, 2026Oxford CityvsSouth Shields
- Oct 31, 2026HerefordvsKing's Lynn Town
- Oct 31, 2026Spennymoor TownvsChorley
- Oct 31, 2026Worksop TownvsBrackley Town
- Oct 31, 2026Bedford TownvsMacclesfield
- Oct 31, 2026Spalding UnitedvsDarlington 1883