Match

Sparta Praha vs AZ Alkmaar: prediction and stats

UEFA Europa LeagueMatchday 5Kick-off on November 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)epet ARENA, Praha

Sparta PrahaAZ Alkmaar

The Footlab AI model makes AZ Alkmaar the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Sparta Praha. The most likely score is 1-1. If AZ Alkmaar wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,580 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sparta Praha vs AZ Alkmaar?

AZ Alkmaar starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (2,170 vs 2,066).

27%26%47%
Sparta Praha winDrawAZ Alkmaar win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sparta Praha vs AZ Alkmaar

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sparta Praha

4-3-3
  1. 7J. Alcócer
  2. 14J. Braut Brunes
  3. 27E. Singhateh
  1. 20S. Mannsverk
  2. 38H. Sochurek
  3. 18A. Irving
  1. 6T. Guddal
  2. 25K. Hoever
  3. 22L. Mbe Soh
  4. 2M. Suchomel
  1. 44J. Surovčík

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
  1. 11R. Daal
  2. 9Mexx Meerdink
  3. 24A. Oufkir
  1. 6P. Koopmeiners
  2. 21D. Kwakman
  3. 17V. Byskov
  1. 3W. Goes
  2. 4L. Schouten
  3. 34M. de Wit
  4. 29W. Hoedt
  1. 28J. De Busser

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 09:47 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Praha have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; AZ Alkmaar have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sparta Praha
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Plzen(away)1-1Czech Liga
Nov 5, 2026Bournemouth(home)1-3UEFA Europa League
Nov 1, 2026Bohemians 1905(away)0-0Czech Liga
Oct 28, 2026Baník Ostrava(home)0-2Cup
Oct 25, 2026Slovácko(home)5-1Czech Liga
AZ Alkmaar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Groningen(home)4-3Eredivisie
Nov 5, 2026Juventus(home)1-2UEFA Europa League
Oct 31, 2026Ajax(away)0-1Eredivisie
Oct 25, 2026Twente(home)0-2Eredivisie
Oct 22, 2026Ararat-Armenia(away)4-0UEFA Europa League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Sparta Praha wins, 0 draws, 2 AZ Alkmaar wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 19, 2026Sparta Praha 0-4 AZ AlkmaarUEFA Europa Conference League
Mar 12, 2026AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Sparta PrahaUEFA Europa Conference League

Last archived meeting: Sparta Praha vs AZ Alkmaar on Mar 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sparta Praha score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; AZ Alkmaar score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sparta Praha2.01.067/157/15
AZ Alkmaar1.91.338/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sparta Praha sit 22nd in UEFA Europa League (4 points from 4 matches) and AZ Alkmaar sit 14th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14AZ Alkmaar4202746
22Sparta Praha4112664

A question about Sparta Praha vs AZ Alkmaar?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sparta Praha vs AZ Alkmaar?
The Footlab AI model makes AZ Alkmaar the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Sparta Praha.
Where and when is Sparta Praha vs AZ Alkmaar played?
Sparta Praha vs AZ Alkmaar is played on November 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at epet ARENA, in the UEFA Europa League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sparta Praha and AZ Alkmaar