ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Bingoal Stadion, ‘s-Gravenhage
The Footlab AI model makes ADO Den Haag the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Sparta Rotterdam. The most likely score is 1-1. If ADO Den Haag wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate ADO Den Haag (1,843) and Sparta Rotterdam (1,886).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ADO Den Haag
4-4-2- 46Y. Eduardo
- 11E. Rottier
- 25J. Kilo
- 27N. Thomas
- 17J. Hawkins
- 7D. van Mieghem
- 3P. Mulder
- 15M. Hokke
- 4M. Waem
- 5J. Jensen-Abbew
- 1K. Nikiéma
Sparta Rotterdam
4-2-3-1- 9M. Zonneveld
- 6J. Baas
- 7C. Terho
- 11M. van Bergen
- 10S. Mito
- 11Joel Ideho
- 5B. Kuipers
- 3M. Young
- 2L. Martes
- 4B. Martins Indi
- 1M. Brouwer
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 03:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ADO Den Haag have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Sparta Rotterdam have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Twente(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 23, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Heerenveen(home) | 0-4 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Excelsior(away) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 ADO Den Haag win, 1 draw, 4 Sparta Rotterdam wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2025 | ADO Den Haag 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 19, 2025 | ADO Den Haag 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 ADO Den Haag | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 20, 2023 | ADO Den Haag 2-0 Sparta Rotterdam | KNVB Beker |
| Aug 1, 2023 | ADO Den Haag 1-2 Sparta Rotterdam | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 4, 2022 | ADO Den Haag 0-3 Sparta Rotterdam | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam on Jul 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
ADO Den Haag score 2.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Rotterdam score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADO Den Haag | 2.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ADO Den Haag sit 17th in Eredivisie (2 points from 7 matches) and Sparta Rotterdam sit 12th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 5 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 2 |
A question about ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
- The Footlab AI model makes ADO Den Haag the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Sparta Rotterdam.
- Where and when is ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam played?
- ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam is played on November 7, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Bingoal Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.