ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Bingoal Stadion, ‘s-Gravenhage
The Footlab model makes ADO Den Haag the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Sparta Rotterdam. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate ADO Den Haag (1,868) and Sparta Rotterdam (1,925).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ADO Den Haag have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Sparta Rotterdam have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Telstar(away) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 ADO Den Haag win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Sparta Rotterdam win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2025 | ADO Den Haag 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 19, 2025 | ADO Den Haag 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 ADO Den Haag | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 20, 2023 | ADO Den Haag 2-0 Sparta Rotterdam | KNVB Beker |
| Aug 1, 2023 | ADO Den Haag 1-2 Sparta Rotterdam | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 4, 2022 | ADO Den Haag 0-3 Sparta Rotterdam | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam on Jul 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
ADO Den Haag score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Rotterdam score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADO Den Haag | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 1.4 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ADO Den Haag sit 17th in Eredivisie (0 points from 3 matches) and Sparta Rotterdam sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
- The Footlab model makes ADO Den Haag the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Sparta Rotterdam.
- Where and when is ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam played?
- ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam is played on November 7, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Bingoal Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.