Spartans vs Edinburgh City: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ainslie Park Stadium, Edinburgh
The Footlab model makes Spartans the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Edinburgh City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartans vs Edinburgh City?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Spartans (1,610) and Edinburgh City (1,531).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartans have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Edinburgh City have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Elgin City(home) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stranraer(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | East Fife(away) | 2-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Edinburgh City(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Annan Athletic(away) | 4-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Annan Athletic(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dumbarton(away) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cowdenbeath(home) | 3-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spartans(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Elgin City(home) | 0-5 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Spartans win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Edinburgh City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spartans 2-2 Edinburgh City | League Two |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Edinburgh City 0-3 Spartans | League Two |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Spartans 0-0 Edinburgh City | League Two |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Edinburgh City 1-3 Spartans | League Two |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Spartans 0-1 Edinburgh City | League Two |
| May 3, 2025 | Spartans 3-1 Edinburgh City | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Spartans vs Edinburgh City on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartans score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Edinburgh City score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartans | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Edinburgh City | 1.6 | 1.8 | 6 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartans sit 5th in League Two (5 points from 4 matches) and Edinburgh City sit 10th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spartans | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 5 |
| 10 | Edinburgh City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartans vs Edinburgh City?
- The Footlab model makes Spartans the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Edinburgh City.
- Where and when is Spartans vs Edinburgh City played?
- Spartans vs Edinburgh City is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ainslie Park Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.