Kelty Hearts vs Stirling Albion: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)New Central Park, Kelty
The Footlab model makes Kelty Hearts the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Stirling Albion. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kelty Hearts vs Stirling Albion?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Kelty Hearts (1,530) and Stirling Albion (1,489).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kelty Hearts have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Stirling Albion have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Clydebank(home) | 2-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dumbarton(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Elgin City(away) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Motherwell U21(home) | 4-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stirling Albion(home) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Airdrie United(away) | 3-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stranraer(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cove Rangers(home) | 4-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kelty Hearts win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Stirling Albion win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kelty Hearts 3-2 Stirling Albion | League Two |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Kelty Hearts 1-0 Stirling Albion | League One |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Stirling Albion 5-0 Kelty Hearts | League One |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Kelty Hearts 1-0 Stirling Albion | League One |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Stirling Albion 1-0 Kelty Hearts | League One |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Kelty Hearts 1-1 Stirling Albion | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Kelty Hearts vs Stirling Albion on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kelty Hearts score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stirling Albion score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelty Hearts | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Stirling Albion | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kelty Hearts sit 4th in League Two (6 points from 4 matches) and Stirling Albion sit 6th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kelty Hearts | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 6 | Stirling Albion | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kelty Hearts vs Stirling Albion?
- The Footlab model makes Kelty Hearts the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Stirling Albion.
- Where and when is Kelty Hearts vs Stirling Albion played?
- Kelty Hearts vs Stirling Albion is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at New Central Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.