Match

Chester vs Macclesfield: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Deva Stadium, Chester, Cheshire

ChesterMacclesfield

The Footlab model makes Chester the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Macclesfield. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chester vs Macclesfield?

A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Chester (1,921) and Macclesfield (1,932).

Chester win41 %
Draw27 %
Macclesfield win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chester have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Macclesfield have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chester
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Spalding United(home)1-0National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Darlington 1883(away)1-0National League - North
Aug 15, 2026King's Lynn Town(home)2-0National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Chorley(away)2-1National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Crewe(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Macclesfield
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Brackley Town(home)2-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Spalding United(away)0-0National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Radcliffe(home)2-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Marine(away)1-0National League - North
Aug 1, 2026United of Manchester(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chester win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Macclesfield win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 29, 2026Macclesfield 2-1 ChesterNational League - North
Apr 6, 2026Macclesfield 0-2 ChesterNational League - North
Dec 30, 2025Chester 2-0 MacclesfieldNational League - North
Aug 3, 2024Macclesfield 0-1 ChesterFriendlies Clubs
Apr 2, 2018Macclesfield 1-0 ChesterNational League
Aug 28, 2017Chester 0-2 MacclesfieldNational League

Last archived meeting: Macclesfield vs Chester on Apr 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chester score 1.3 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Macclesfield score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chester1.30.3113/154/15
Macclesfield1.41.239/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chester sit 1st in National League - North (12 points from 4 matches) and Macclesfield sit 4th (10 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Chester44006112
4Macclesfield43105210

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chester vs Macclesfield?
The Footlab model makes Chester the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Macclesfield.
Where and when is Chester vs Macclesfield played?
Chester vs Macclesfield is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Deva Stadium, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chester and Macclesfield

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