Chester vs Macclesfield: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Deva Stadium, Chester, Cheshire
The Footlab model makes Chester the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Macclesfield. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chester vs Macclesfield?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Chester (1,921) and Macclesfield (1,932).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chester have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Macclesfield have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brackley Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Spalding United(away) | 0-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Marine(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | United of Manchester(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chester win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Macclesfield win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Macclesfield 2-1 Chester | National League - North |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Macclesfield 0-2 Chester | National League - North |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Chester 2-0 Macclesfield | National League - North |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Macclesfield 0-1 Chester | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 2, 2018 | Macclesfield 1-0 Chester | National League |
| Aug 28, 2017 | Chester 0-2 Macclesfield | National League |
Last archived meeting: Macclesfield vs Chester on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chester score 1.3 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Macclesfield score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chester | 1.3 | 0.3 | 11 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Macclesfield | 1.4 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chester sit 1st in National League - North (12 points from 4 matches) and Macclesfield sit 4th (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chester | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chester vs Macclesfield?
- The Footlab model makes Chester the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Macclesfield.
- Where and when is Chester vs Macclesfield played?
- Chester vs Macclesfield is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Deva Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026MorecambevsKing's Lynn Town
- Nov 21, 2026SouthportvsBrackley Town
- Nov 21, 2026Oxford CityvsScarborough Athletic
- Nov 21, 2026HerefordvsDarlington 1883
- Nov 21, 2026Spennymoor TownvsHarborough Town
- Nov 21, 2026Worksop TownvsChorley
- Nov 21, 2026Bedford TownvsSouth Shields
- Nov 21, 2026Spalding UnitedvsMerthyr Town