Spjelkavik vs Molde II: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 2Regular Season - 17Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Spjelkavik kunstgress, Ålesund
The Footlab model makes Spjelkavik the favourite at 63%, against 17% for a draw and 20% for Molde II. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spjelkavik vs Molde II?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Spjelkavik (1,620) and Molde II (1,564).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spjelkavik have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Molde II have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | hodd(home) | 1-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Orkla(away) | 5-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Strindheim(home) | 0-4 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Byåsen(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nardo(home) | 4-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Rosenborg II(home) | 3-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kvik Trondheim(home) | 6-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Nardo(away) | 0-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Byåsen(home) | 6-6 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Orkla(away) | 5-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Spjelkavik win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Molde II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Molde II 3-1 Spjelkavik | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Spjelkavik 6-1 Molde II | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Molde II 0-5 Spjelkavik | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Spjelkavik 2-2 Molde II | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| May 6, 2024 | Molde II 0-4 Spjelkavik | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Spjelkavik 5-1 Molde II | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
Last archived meeting: Molde II vs Spjelkavik on May 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spjelkavik score 2.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Molde II score 2.9 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spjelkavik | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Molde II | 2.9 | 3.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 15/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spjelkavik sit 11th in 3. Division - Girone 2 (10 points from 9 matches) and Molde II sit 8th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spjelkavik | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 31 | 22 |
| 7 | Molde II | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 46 | 48 | 22 |
| 8 | Molde II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 25 | 12 |
| 11 | Spjelkavik | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spjelkavik vs Molde II?
- The Footlab model makes Spjelkavik the favourite at 63%, against 17% for a draw and 20% for Molde II.
- Where and when is Spjelkavik vs Molde II played?
- Spjelkavik vs Molde II is played on August 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Spjelkavik kunstgress, in the 3. Division - Girone 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.