Aalesund II vs Nardo: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 2Regular Season - 17Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Color Line Stadion, Ålesund
The Footlab model makes Aalesund II the favourite at 50%, against 20% for a draw and 30% for Nardo. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aalesund II vs Nardo?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Aalesund II (1,528) and Nardo (1,565).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aalesund II have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Nardo have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Kvik Trondheim(away) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Herd(home) | 3-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Strindheim(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Orkla(home) | 4-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Byåsen(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Melhus(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Volda(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Molde II(home) | 3-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Spjelkavik(away) | 2-4 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Ranheim II(away) | 3-5 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Aalesund II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Nardo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Nardo 5-1 Aalesund II | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Aalesund II 4-1 Nardo | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Nardo 2-3 Aalesund II | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Aalesund II score 1.7 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Nardo score 1.9 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund II | 1.7 | 2.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Nardo | 1.9 | 2.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aalesund II sit 14th in 3. Division - Girone 2 (7 points from 9 matches) and Nardo sit 13th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Aalesund II | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 45 | 16 |
| 13 | Nardo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 8 |
| 13 | Nardo | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 38 | 14 |
| 14 | Aalesund II | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 31 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aalesund II vs Nardo?
- The Footlab model makes Aalesund II the favourite at 50%, against 20% for a draw and 30% for Nardo.
- Where and when is Aalesund II vs Nardo played?
- Aalesund II vs Nardo is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Color Line Stadion, in the 3. Division - Girone 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.