Aalesund II vs Nardo: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 2Regular Season - 17Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Color Line Stadion, Ålesund
The Footlab AI model makes Nardo the favourite at 60%, against 17% for a draw and 23% for Aalesund II. The most likely score is 1-3.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aalesund II vs Nardo?
Nardo starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,661 vs 1,516).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aalesund II vs Nardo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aalesund II
Not enough data to predict the Aalesund II lineup.
Nardo
Not enough data to predict the Nardo lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 07:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aalesund II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Nardo have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Byåsen(home) | 3-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Melhus(away) | 1-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | NTNUI(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Rosenborg II(home) | 1-7 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Orkla(away) | 2-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Herd(home) | 11-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Byåsen(away) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Strindheim(home) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | NTNUI(away) | 5-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Ranheim II(home) | 4-1 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Aalesund II wins, 0 draws, 1 Nardo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Nardo 5-1 Aalesund II | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Aalesund II 4-1 Nardo | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Nardo 2-3 Aalesund II | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Aalesund II score 1.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Nardo score 3.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 88% probability of over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund II | 1.9 | 2.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Nardo | 3.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aalesund II sit 13th in 3. Division - Girone 2 (24 points from 23 matches) and Nardo sit 6th (32 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nardo | 23 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 61 | 47 | 32 |
| 13 | Aalesund II | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 42 | 65 | 24 |
A question about Aalesund II vs Nardo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aalesund II vs Nardo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nardo the favourite at 60%, against 17% for a draw and 23% for Aalesund II.
- Where and when is Aalesund II vs Nardo played?
- Aalesund II vs Nardo is played on October 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Color Line Stadion, in the 3. Division - Girone 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 88% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.