Match

Spokane Velocity vs Chattanooga Red Wolves: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)One Spokane Stadium, Spokane, Washington

Spokane VelocityChattanooga Red Wolves

The Footlab model makes Spokane Velocity the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Chattanooga Red Wolves. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Spokane Velocity vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Spokane Velocity (1,753) and Chattanooga Red Wolves (1,710).

Spokane Velocity win50 %
Draw24 %
Chattanooga Red Wolves win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spokane Velocity have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Chattanooga Red Wolves have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Spokane Velocity
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Greenville Triumph(home)2-1USL League One
Aug 16, 2026Corpus Christi(home)2-3USL League One
Aug 13, 2026Colorado Springs(home)1-1USL League One Cup
Jul 26, 2026Fort Wayne(home)3-1USL League One
Jul 23, 2026Charlotte Independence(home)3-0USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026NY Cosmos(home)3-3USL League One
Aug 19, 2026Sarasota Paradise(away)2-3USL League One
Aug 15, 2026Fort Wayne(away)2-1USL League One
Aug 8, 2026Union Omaha(home)1-3USL League One
Jul 30, 2026Forward Madison(away)2-5USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Spokane Velocity win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Chattanooga Red Wolves win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 21, 2025Spokane Velocity 1-2 Chattanooga Red WolvesUSL League One
Jul 19, 2025Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-0 Spokane VelocityUSL League One
Aug 7, 2024Chattanooga Red Wolves 0-1 Spokane VelocityUSL League One
Jul 7, 2024Spokane Velocity 2-1 Chattanooga Red WolvesUSL League One

Last archived meeting: Spokane Velocity vs Chattanooga Red Wolves on Sep 21, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Spokane Velocity score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chattanooga Red Wolves score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Spokane Velocity1.51.338/1510/15
Chattanooga Red Wolves1.71.7410/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Spokane Velocity sit 5th in USL League One (35 points from 20 matches) and Chattanooga Red Wolves sit 7th (32 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Spokane Velocity201127292635
7Chattanooga Red Wolves201028383232

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Spokane Velocity vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
The Footlab model makes Spokane Velocity the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Chattanooga Red Wolves.
Where and when is Spokane Velocity vs Chattanooga Red Wolves played?
Spokane Velocity vs Chattanooga Red Wolves is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at One Spokane Stadium, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Spokane Velocity and Chattanooga Red Wolves

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