Spokane Velocity vs Chattanooga Red Wolves: prediction and stats
USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)One Spokane Stadium, Spokane, Washington
The Footlab model makes Spokane Velocity the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Chattanooga Red Wolves. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spokane Velocity vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Spokane Velocity (1,753) and Chattanooga Red Wolves (1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spokane Velocity have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Chattanooga Red Wolves have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Greenville Triumph(home) | 2-1 | USL League One |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Corpus Christi(home) | 2-3 | USL League One |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Colorado Springs(home) | 1-1 | USL League One Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Fort Wayne(home) | 3-1 | USL League One |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Charlotte Independence(home) | 3-0 | USL League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | NY Cosmos(home) | 3-3 | USL League One |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sarasota Paradise(away) | 2-3 | USL League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fort Wayne(away) | 2-1 | USL League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Union Omaha(home) | 1-3 | USL League One |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Forward Madison(away) | 2-5 | USL League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Spokane Velocity win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Chattanooga Red Wolves win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | Spokane Velocity 1-2 Chattanooga Red Wolves | USL League One |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-0 Spokane Velocity | USL League One |
| Aug 7, 2024 | Chattanooga Red Wolves 0-1 Spokane Velocity | USL League One |
| Jul 7, 2024 | Spokane Velocity 2-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves | USL League One |
Last archived meeting: Spokane Velocity vs Chattanooga Red Wolves on Sep 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Spokane Velocity score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chattanooga Red Wolves score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spokane Velocity | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spokane Velocity sit 5th in USL League One (35 points from 20 matches) and Chattanooga Red Wolves sit 7th (32 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spokane Velocity | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 35 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 32 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spokane Velocity vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
- The Footlab model makes Spokane Velocity the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Chattanooga Red Wolves.
- Where and when is Spokane Velocity vs Chattanooga Red Wolves played?
- Spokane Velocity vs Chattanooga Red Wolves is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at One Spokane Stadium, in the USL League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 8, 2026Westchester SC2-3One Knoxville
- Mar 8, 2026Naples2-0Fort Wayne
- Mar 8, 2026Sarasota Paradise0-1Boise
- Mar 8, 2026Alta1-1Richmond Kickers
- Mar 8, 2026TormentavsSpokane Velocity
- Mar 14, 2026NY Cosmos1-3Portland Hearts of Pine
- Mar 14, 2026TormentavsAlta
- Mar 14, 2026Greenville Triumph1-2Chattanooga Red Wolves