Felgueiras 1932 vs Farense: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Machado de Matos, Felgueiras
The Footlab model makes Felgueiras 1932 the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Farense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Felgueiras 1932 vs Farense?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Felgueiras 1932 (1,932) and Farense (1,944).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Felgueiras 1932 have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Farense have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Farense(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | AVS(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Feirense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Porto B(away) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Benfica B(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Felgueiras 1932 win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Farense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Farense 1-1 Felgueiras 1932 | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Farense 0-0 Felgueiras 1932 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Felgueiras 1932 1-1 Farense | Segunda Liga |
Last archived meeting: Farense vs Felgueiras 1932 on Aug 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Felgueiras 1932 score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Farense score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felgueiras 1932 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Farense | 1.1 | 0.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Felgueiras 1932 sit 11th in Segunda Liga (3 points from 3 matches) and Farense sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Farense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Felgueiras 1932 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Felgueiras 1932 vs Farense?
- The Footlab model makes Felgueiras 1932 the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Farense.
- Where and when is Felgueiras 1932 vs Farense played?
- Felgueiras 1932 vs Farense is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. Machado de Matos, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.