Sporting CP vs Barcelona: prediction and stats
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 7Kick-off on January 20, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Barcelona. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sporting CP wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting CP vs Barcelona?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Sporting CP (2,481) and Barcelona (2,436).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sporting CP vs Barcelona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sporting CP
4-3-3- 10Geny Catamo
- 97L. Suárez
- 19N. Irankunda
- 5Sergi Altimira
- 77I. Doumbia
- 8João Simões
- 25Gonçalo Inácio
- 22Iván Fresneda
- 20M. Araújo
- 72Eduardo Quaresma
- 30Kaique
Barcelona
4-3-3- 10Lamine Yamal
- 17A. Gordon
- 20Dani Olmo
- 16Rodri
- 8Pedri
- 7Fermín
- 24Eric García
- 18Gerard Martín
- 5Pau Cubarsí Paredes
- 2João Cancelo
- 1Joan García
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting CP have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Barcelona have 13, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Lens(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Famalicao(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Galatasaray(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 4-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Getafe(home) | 3-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sevilla(away) | 3-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 7-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Levante(away) | 4-2 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Sporting CP wins, 0 draws, 2 Barcelona wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2017 | Barcelona 2-0 Sporting CP | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 27, 2017 | Sporting CP 0-1 Barcelona | UEFA Champions League |
Last archived meeting: Barcelona vs Sporting CP on Dec 5, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting CP score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Barcelona score 3.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | 2.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Barcelona | 3.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting CP sit 6th in UEFA Champions League (6 points from 2 matches) and Barcelona sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
A question about Sporting CP vs Barcelona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting CP vs Barcelona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Barcelona.
- Where and when is Sporting CP vs Barcelona played?
- Sporting CP vs Barcelona is played on January 20, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio José Alvalade, in the UEFA Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.