Match

Sporting CP vs Estoril: prediction and stats

Primeira LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa

Sporting CPEstoril

The Footlab AI model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Estoril. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sporting CP vs Estoril?

Sporting CP is a heavy favourite: 2,484 Elo points against 2,045, a 439-point gap.

73%17%10%
Sporting CP winDrawEstoril win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sporting CP vs Estoril

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sporting CP

4-3-3
  1. 10Geny Catamo
  2. 19N. Irankunda
  3. 97L. Suárez
  1. 5Sergi Altimira
  2. 77I. Doumbia
  3. 4S. Andersen
  1. 25Gonçalo Inácio
  2. 22Iván Fresneda
  3. 20M. Araújo
  4. 72Eduardo Quaresma
  1. 1Rui Silva

Estoril

4-2-3-1
  1. 14Y. Begraoui
  1. 12João Carvalho
  2. 10J. Holsgrove
  3. 44M. Robin
  4. 5A. Tsoungui
  5. 7André Lacximicant
  1. 2Ricard Sánchez
  2. 21R. Jurišić
  3. 6Xavi Sintes
  4. 15Isma Sierra
  1. 1Joel Robles

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:24 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting CP have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Estoril have 0, 6 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sporting CP
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Lens(away)2-0UEFA Champions League
Oct 9, 2026SC Braga(away)3-1Primeira Liga
Sep 19, 2026Arouca(home)2-2Primeira Liga
Sep 13, 2026Famalicao(away)1-1Primeira Liga
Sep 9, 2026Galatasaray(home)3-1UEFA Champions League
Estoril
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Academico Viseu(away)1-2Primeira Liga
Sep 20, 2026Casa Pia(home)1-2Primeira Liga
Sep 14, 2026SC Braga(away)0-1Primeira Liga
Sep 7, 2026Arouca(home)0-0Primeira Liga
Aug 31, 2026Benfica(away)1-2Primeira Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Sporting CP wins, 0 draws, 0 Estoril wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Sporting CP 3-0 EstorilPrimeira Liga
Sep 27, 2025Estoril 0-1 Sporting CPPrimeira Liga
Mar 3, 2025Sporting CP 3-1 EstorilPrimeira Liga
Sep 27, 2024Estoril 0-3 Sporting CPPrimeira Liga
May 11, 2024Estoril 0-1 Sporting CPPrimeira Liga
Jan 5, 2024Sporting CP 5-1 EstorilPrimeira Liga

Last archived meeting: Sporting CP vs Estoril on Feb 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sporting CP score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Estoril score 0.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sporting CP2.90.9510/1511/15
Estoril0.51.428/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sporting CP sit 3rd in Primeira Liga (18 points from 8 matches) and Estoril sit 18th (2 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Sporting CP853020918
18Estoril80264122

A question about Sporting CP vs Estoril?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sporting CP vs Estoril?
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Estoril.
Where and when is Sporting CP vs Estoril played?
Sporting CP vs Estoril is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio José Alvalade, in the Primeira Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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