Where and when is Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island played?

Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC), in the USL Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)

Sporting JAX

Rhode Island

The Footlab model makes Rhode Island the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Sporting JAX. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island?

Rhode Island starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,809 vs 1,634).

Sporting JAX win19 %

Draw22 %

Rhode Island win59 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting JAX have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Rhode Island have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sporting JAX
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Birmingham Legion(away)	3-2	USL Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Indy Eleven(home)	0-1	USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026	Sacramento Republic(away)	0-5	USL Championship
Jul 26, 2026	El Paso Locomotive(away)	0-2	USL Championship
Jul 18, 2026	Brooklyn(home)	2-2	USL Championship

Rhode Island
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Monterey Bay(home)	3-1	USL Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Tampa Bay Rowdies(away)	0-2	USL Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Colorado Springs(home)	2-0	USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026	Birmingham Legion(away)	0-1	USL Championship
Jul 25, 2026	Pittsburgh Riverhounds(away)	1-0	USL Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sporting JAX win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Rhode Island win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 14, 2026	Rhode Island 1-1 Sporting JAX	USL Championship

Last archived meeting: Rhode Island vs Sporting JAX on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sporting JAX score 1.5 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Rhode Island score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sporting JAX	1.5	2.5	1	10/15	10/15
Rhode Island	1.5	0.9	4	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sporting JAX sit 13th in USL Championship (3 points from 13 matches) and Rhode Island sit 9th (15 points from 11 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Rhode Island	19	8	4	7	30	22	28
9	Rhode Island	11	4	3	4	21	15	15
13	Sporting JAX	13	0	3	10	15	34	3
13	Sporting JAX	21	2	5	14	26	54	11

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island?: The Footlab model makes Rhode Island the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Sporting JAX.
Where and when is Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island played?: Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC), in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.