Sporting Lieşti vs Unirea Braniştea: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 1Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Comunal, Lieşti
The Footlab model makes Sporting Lieşti the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Unirea Braniştea. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Lieşti vs Unirea Braniştea?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Sporting Lieşti (1,595) and Unirea Braniştea (1,530).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Lieşti have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Unirea Braniştea have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | USV Iaşi(away) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | CSM Adjud(away) | 4-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Unirea Braniştea(away) | 4-2 | Cupa României |
| May 23, 2026 | Stiinta Miroslava(away) | 3-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Viitorul Onesti(home) | 2-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sporting Lieşti(home) | 2-4 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Victoria Traian(away) | 7-0 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | Râmnicu Sărat(away) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Braila(home) | 3-0 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| May 1, 2026 | Petrolul 52 II(away) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sporting Lieşti win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Unirea Braniştea win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Unirea Braniştea 2-4 Sporting Lieşti | Cupa României |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Unirea Braniştea 1-0 Sporting Lieşti | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Sporting Lieşti 3-1 Unirea Braniştea | Cupa României |
| May 10, 2025 | Sporting Lieşti 2-4 Unirea Braniştea | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Unirea Braniştea 4-0 Sporting Lieşti | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Sporting Lieşti 2-1 Unirea Braniştea | Liga III - Serie 2 |
Last archived meeting: Unirea Braniştea vs Sporting Lieşti on Aug 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Lieşti score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Unirea Braniştea score 2.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lieşti | 2.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Unirea Braniştea | 2.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Lieşti vs Unirea Braniştea?
- The Footlab model makes Sporting Lieşti the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Unirea Braniştea.
- Where and when is Sporting Lieşti vs Unirea Braniştea played?
- Sporting Lieşti vs Unirea Braniştea is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Comunal, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.