Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Lyra-Lierse Berlaar: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Katteberg, Bilzen
The Footlab model makes Spouwen-Mopertingen the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Lyra-Lierse Berlaar. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Lyra-Lierse Berlaar?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Spouwen-Mopertingen (1,879) and Lyra-Lierse Berlaar (1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spouwen-Mopertingen have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Lyra-Lierse Berlaar have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Diegem Sport(away) | 3-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Zelzate(home) | 5-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(away) | 5-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Tienen(home) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Houtvenne(home) | 4-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II(away) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Thes Sport(home) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Knokke(away) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Hoogstraten(home) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Spouwen-Mopertingen win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 0-0 Spouwen-Mopertingen | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Spouwen-Mopertingen 0-0 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | First Amateur Division |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 4-0 Spouwen-Mopertingen | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Spouwen-Mopertingen 2-1 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 0-2 Spouwen-Mopertingen | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Spouwen-Mopertingen 1-1 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
Last archived meeting: Lyra-Lierse Berlaar vs Spouwen-Mopertingen on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spouwen-Mopertingen score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lyra-Lierse Berlaar score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spouwen-Mopertingen | 2.1 | 1.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
| Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | 1.3 | 1.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spouwen-Mopertingen sit 1st in First Amateur Division (25 points from 13 matches) and Lyra-Lierse Berlaar sit 3rd (23 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spouwen-Mopertingen | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 17 | 25 |
| 3 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Lyra-Lierse Berlaar?
- The Footlab model makes Spouwen-Mopertingen the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Lyra-Lierse Berlaar.
- Where and when is Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Lyra-Lierse Berlaar played?
- Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Lyra-Lierse Berlaar is played on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Katteberg, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.