Merelbeke vs Lyra-Lierse Berlaar: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Molenkouter, Merelbeke
The Footlab AI model makes Merelbeke the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Lyra-Lierse Berlaar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Merelbeke wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Merelbeke vs Lyra-Lierse Berlaar?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Merelbeke (1,892) and Lyra-Lierse Berlaar (1,876).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Merelbeke vs Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Merelbeke
Not enough data to predict the Merelbeke lineup.
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Not enough data to predict the Lyra-Lierse Berlaar lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 09:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merelbeke have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Lyra-Lierse Berlaar have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(home) | 0-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Houtvenne(away) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Knokke(away) | 3-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mandel United(home) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tienen(away) | 0-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Zelzate(home) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Harelbeke(away) | 3-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Houtvenne(home) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(away) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(home) | 0-3 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Merelbeke win, 1 draw, 2 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 1-3 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Merelbeke 2-4 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | First Amateur Division |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Merelbeke 0-0 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 4-1 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Lyra-Lierse Berlaar vs Merelbeke on Dec 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Merelbeke score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lyra-Lierse Berlaar score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merelbeke | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merelbeke sit 14th in First Amateur Division (11 points from 12 matches) and Lyra-Lierse Berlaar sit 3rd (23 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 23 |
| 14 | Merelbeke | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 11 |
A question about Merelbeke vs Lyra-Lierse Berlaar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Merelbeke vs Lyra-Lierse Berlaar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Merelbeke the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Lyra-Lierse Berlaar.
- Where and when is Merelbeke vs Lyra-Lierse Berlaar played?
- Merelbeke vs Lyra-Lierse Berlaar is played on November 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Molenkouter, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.