Merelbeke vs Heist: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Molenkouter, Merelbeke
The Footlab AI model makes Heist the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Merelbeke. The most likely score is 1-1. If Heist wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Merelbeke vs Heist?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Merelbeke (1,829) and Heist (1,925).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Merelbeke vs Heist
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Merelbeke
Not enough data to predict the Merelbeke lineup.
Heist
Not enough data to predict the Heist lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merelbeke have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Heist have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mandel United(home) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tienen(away) | 0-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Dessel Sport(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Harelbeke(home) | 3-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II(away) | 0-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(away) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kortrijk(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(away) | 2-3 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Merelbeke wins, 0 draws, 0 Heist wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | Heist 1-2 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Merelbeke 3-0 Heist | First Amateur Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Merelbeke score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Heist score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merelbeke | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Heist | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Merelbeke | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 11 |
A question about Merelbeke vs Heist?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Merelbeke vs Heist?
- The Footlab AI model makes Heist the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Merelbeke.
- Where and when is Merelbeke vs Heist played?
- Merelbeke vs Heist is played on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Molenkouter, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.