Match

Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)LEAG Energie Stadion, Cottbus

Energie CottbusSpVgg Greuther Fürth

The Footlab model makes Energie Cottbus the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Energie Cottbus starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,982 vs 1,873).

Energie Cottbus win55 %
Draw23 %
SpVgg Greuther Fürth win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Energie Cottbus have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Energie Cottbus
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(away)0-32. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026Hannover 96(home)3-12. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Werder Bremen(home)2-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Dynamo Dresden(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 15, 2026Mlada Boleslav(home)2-4Friendlies Clubs
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 20261. FC Nürnberg(home)2-42. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026FC St. Pauli(away)1-12. Bundesliga
Jul 18, 2026FC Zurich(away)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026Eintracht Bamberg(home)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 8, 2026Eltersdorf(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Energie Cottbus win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 4, 2014Energie Cottbus 0-6 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
Dec 1, 2013SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-0 Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga
Apr 5, 2012SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3-0 Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga
Oct 22, 2011Energie Cottbus 0-2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth on May 4, 2014

How many goals should we expect?

Energie Cottbus score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Energie Cottbus2.01.549/1511/15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1.21.638/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Energie Cottbus sit 8th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Energie Cottbus2101343
16SpVgg Greuther Fürth2011351

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
The Footlab model makes Energie Cottbus the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Where and when is Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth played?
Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at LEAG Energie Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Energie Cottbus and SpVgg Greuther Fürth

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