Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)LEAG Energie Stadion, Cottbus
The Footlab model makes Energie Cottbus the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Energie Cottbus starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,982 vs 1,873).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Energie Cottbus have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(away) | 0-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hannover 96(home) | 3-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Werder Bremen(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(home) | 2-4 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(away) | 1-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FC Zurich(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Eintracht Bamberg(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Eltersdorf(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Energie Cottbus win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2014 | Energie Cottbus 0-6 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
| Dec 1, 2013 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-0 Energie Cottbus | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 5, 2012 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3-0 Energie Cottbus | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 22, 2011 | Energie Cottbus 0-2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth on May 4, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Energie Cottbus score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energie Cottbus | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Energie Cottbus sit 8th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Energie Cottbus | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
- The Footlab model makes Energie Cottbus the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
- Where and when is Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth played?
- Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at LEAG Energie Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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